AFC North offseason opponent overview – Baltimore Ravens
You might be a little surprised to see an update about an AFC North opponent on a Steelers oriented website, but as with our other offerings this offseason, its important to take a look at other NFL franchises, in order to compare how their maneuvers could affect Pittsburgh’s.
What better place to look than within the Steelers’ own division, the AFC North. And who better to start with, than a team that finished second in the division, and gave Pittsburgh a run for it’s money all the way down to the next-to-last game of the season.
Here’s an overview of the Baltimore Ravens needs for the upcoming 2017 season.
2016 Rankings
Record: 8-8, 2nd AFC North
| Offense | Rank |
|---|---|
| Yards / Game | 17 |
| Yards / Play | 24 |
| Rushing Yards / Game | 28 |
| Rushing Yards / Play | 21 |
| Passing Yards / Game | 12 |
| Passing Yards / Play | 26 |
| Interception Rate | 18 |
| Sacks / Pass Attempt | 7 |
| First Downs / Game | 21 |
| Punt Return Avg | 21 |
| Kickoff Return Avg | 12 |
| Field Goals Made | 1 |
| 3rd Down Pct | 24 |
| 4th Down Pct | 24t |
| Red Zone Pct | 20 |
| Goal to Go% | 3t |
| Avg Time of Possession | 9 |
| Points / Game | 21 |
| Defense | Rank |
|---|---|
| Yards / Game | 7 |
| Yards / Play | 8 |
| Rushing Yards / Game | 5 |
| Rushing Yards / Play | 5 |
| Passing Yards / Game | 9 |
| Passing Yards / Play | 10 |
| Interception Rate | 1 |
| Sacks / Pass Attempt | 24 |
| First Downs / Game | 3t |
| Punt Return Avg | 29 |
| Kickoff Return Avg | 10 |
| 3rd Down Pct | 2 |
| 4th Down Pct | 25t |
| Red Zone Pct | 18 |
| Goal to Go% | 21 |
| Points / Game | 9 |
| Point Differential / Game | 14 |
| Yard Differential / Game | 8 |
| Passing Leaders | Att | Comp | Yards | TDs | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Flacco | 672 | 436 | 4,317 | 20 | 15 |
| Ryan Mallett | 6 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| Rushing Leaders | Att | Yards | Avg | TDs | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance West | 193 | 774 | 4.01 | 5 | 2 |
| Kenneth Dixon | 88 | 382 | 4.34 | 2 | 1 |
| Michael Campanaro | 3 | 72 | 24.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Receiving Leaders | Rec | Yds | Avg | TDs | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Wallace | 72 | 1,017 | 14.1 | 4 | 2 |
| Steve Smith Sr. | 70 | 799 | 11.4 | 5 | 3 |
| Dennis Pitta | 86 | 729 | 8.5 | 2 | 2 |
| Breshad Perriman | 33 | 499 | 15.1 | 3 | 5 |
| Defensive Leaders | Tack | Sack | Fum | INTs | HUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Orr | 130 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| C.J. Mosley | 92 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Eric Weddle | 89 | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Lardarius Webb | 73 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Albert McClellan | 52 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Free Agency
The Ravens have a number of players ready to hit the open market, should they not resign them before the new league year opens on March 9th.
Among those that may, or may not, return:
Unrestricted Free Agents
Unrestricted free agents are “free” to negotiate with any team, including their former club.
- WR Kamar Aiken
- CB Jerraud Powers
- S Matt Elam
- DE Lawrence Guy
- OL Vladimire Ducasse
- QB Ryan Mallett
- FB Kyle Juszczyk
- DB/LB Anthony Levine
- CB Chris Lewis-Harris
- RT Rick Wagner
- DT Brandon Williams
Restricted Free Agents
The Ravens have the first rights to match any offer to their RFAs. If they choose to not match an offer sheet from another team, they would receive draft pick compensation (which varies by tender) from the player’s new team.
- WR Michael Campanaro
- S Marqueston Huff
- OT James Hurst
- OL Ryan Jensen
- CB Jumal Rolle
- RB Terrance West
Exclusive Rights Free Agents
The following players have two years of accrued NFL seasons. Their contracts have expired, but they cannot sign with another team unless their current team decides to not resign them.
- OLB Brennen Beyer
- ILB Lamar Louis
- WR Chris Matthews
- ILB Patrick Onwuasor
- CB Sheldon Price
- WR/RS Keenan Reynolds
- OL De’Ondre Wesley
The Ravens currently have the fifth-fewest cap space in the NFL at $15.3 million. This makes for a lot of potential moves, or no potential moves.
Their secondary is one of the better units on their team. It appears patched up with the addition of Eric Weddle last season, the drafting of Tavon Smith in 2016, and moving Lardarius Webb from corner to safety. Jimmy Smith is a perennial Pro Bowl caliber corner on the other side, however, the team could make more cap room by cutting CB Shareece Wright or Webb.
Doing so could create more holes. Webb was moved due to a lack of depth at the safety position, where 2013 first round pick Matt Elam has underwhelmed, and issn’t expected back (even before his recent off-field trouble).
Kamar Aiken was a pleasant surprise in the 2015 season, when Steve Smith Sr. and 2015 first round pick, Breshad Perriman, landed on Injured Reserve. With Smith Sr. retiring, the Ravens also lack receiver depth outside of Mike Wallace.
DT Brandon Williams is also a player to keep an eye on: the 2013 third round draft pick has appeared in 55 games with 46 starts since entering the league, and played the most snaps of any Ravens defensive lineman in 2016.
RT Rick Wagner has started 47 games since being drafted in 2013; 45 of them over the last 3 seasons. He would be another big loss for Baltimore.
Draft and Depth Chart Outlook
Biggest needs: Edge, S, WR
The Ravens have eight picks in the upcoming NFL Draft, also acquiring a third round compensatory pick like the Steelers. They will select 16th overall, and project to look at an edge rusher, safety or wide receiver as their primary needs.
As mentioned above, the Ravens might be looking to make cap room. They are starting to get long in the tooth with their edge rushers, and could save money by releasing Elvis Dumervil. Regardless, they have to be concerned with eventually finding Dumervil’s replacement, plus a successor to 34-year-old Terrell Suggs.
DE Lawrence Guy could be another starter on the fringe of hitting free agency too. That calculates as two aging edge rushers, plus two defensive lineman leaving, as spots to fill.
If the secondary stays intact, it might not be as big of a focus. The tight ends are in better shape than the receivers, however. There were rumblings around the Internet that Dennis Pitta’s contract may be too rich for the team, but they are solidly setup with Maxx Williams (2015 2nd round pick), Crockett Gillmore (2014 3rd round pick), and veteran Benjamin Watson on the depth chart.
Mike Wallace is due $8 million this season and could very well be another cap-bubble player. If he departs, only the unproven, and seldom healthy, Breshad Perriman remains.
LB Zach Orr, a second-team All-Pro last season, has decided to retire, due to a congenital neck/spine condition that ended his 2016 season.
Conclusion
It’s possible the Ravens do not touch the secondary, and none of the aforementioned players become cap casualties. Regardless, a great deal of of the team is unproven and unknown. Joe Flacco is the one constant on the offense, but his running backs include Javorius Allen and Kenneth Dixon, both who have flashed potential, but neither of which were a consistent answer; they made way for now impending Terrance West, and earlier on, Justin Forsett, before the latter was released mid-season.
That means Baltimore has a deal of rebuilding to do, and little cap room to keep their own in-house free agents to do so. They may have to restructure QB Joe Flacco’s contract, or “rob Peter to pay Paul” in order to keep their roster intact. What I mean by that is, if you they wanted to keep Wagner or Williams, they might have to release Wright or Pitta to do so; that will create more holes to fill in the draft or by signing low-cost free agents.
It’s not an ideal situation for a team which was already reeling, and in a rebuilding mode like the Steelers, following their 2012 Super Bowl victory. My guess is that they keep most of their aging but higher-priced players on the roster, leave the secondary be, and attempt to go heavy in the draft for pass rushers and depth along both lines (C Jeremy Zuttah struggled with injures in 2016, and if Wagner leaves, they will need offensive linemen as well).
A wide receiver at some point is all but a given as well, unless they feel Perriman’s injury history is simply bad luck, and the staff has confidence in bringing back Aiken or have a potential suitor in mind.
I feel like the Ravens are in the same position as the Steelers in regard to replacing aging and/or departed contributors to their Super Bowl, and playoff contending teams. Those positions included the offensive and defensive lines, linebackers, and secondary. The Steelers slowly built back into a contender, but it took some time. They were also able to get aging players, such as Troy Polamalu, off of the books, allowing for enough cap room to keep stars such as Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell on the roster.
Baltimore has no such young stars to lean upon, at least not yet. For them to turn things around, they’ll have to keep drafting quality players like Timmy Jernigan, Tavon Young and others. (Zach Orr is just bad luck, much like the Steelers faced when relying on Jason Worilds to be their future OLB.)
How they structure their roster will tell what their team, and outlook, will be for 2017. In my opinion, at this juncture, they have the most work to do of the Steelers opponents. Cleveland has nowhere to go but up (and is loaded with draft picks) and the Bengals had an off year where several injuries set them back. (Look for articles on Cleveland and Cincy later this week.)
Both have more upside than an aging Baltimore team with a lot of question marks approaching free agency, and the draft.
