How Mike Tomlin has fared in the postseason versus his peers
All offseason, everywhere I look, all I see is that Steelers Nation is (once again) in an uproar of Head Coach Mike Tomlin’s “playoff record”. An early exit for the second time in four years has fans in a tizzy, however, many of them fail to realize hard how it is to win in the playoffs.
This begs the question that fans aren’t asking: how good are most playoff coaches? Only one team finishes the season without a “playoff loss” – and that would be the Super Bowl champions.
In addition, teams either play three or four games total in the postseason, depending on their seeding. A three-win playoff team will still finish 3-1 if they don’t win in the Super Bowl.
Then there’s playoff appearances in general. Many organizations, and fan bases, would kill to have the success of the Steelers. I understand the disappointment of fans who want to win it all, but outside of rare dynasties, such as the New England Patriots or even the Steelers of the 1970’s, playoff losses are actually a good measure of success: it means that that team made the playoffs at a minimum.
Prior to the 2020 season, only 12 of the NFL’s 32 teams could say that each season. The 2020 season added two more Wild Card spots to bump the numbers, with up to 14 teams qualifying for the postseason now.
However, that’s still fewer than half of the league’s members who make it that far.
While Mike Tomlin hasn’t recently won playoff games, he’s not alone. Other long-tenured coaches have had minimal success following their Super Bowl wins as well, including the Ravens’ John Harbaugh, Saints’ Sean Payton, and Seahawks’ Pete Carroll.
Each has been on their own fan base’s hot seats off and on over the years, including now, as all three existed the playoffs after one or no wins.
I want to compare some of these coaches, past and present, to Mike Tomlin’s record. So, let’s start there first:
Mike Tomlin
- 5-2 record in playoffs through first four seasons as the Steelers head coach
- Since 2010 Super Bowl appearance, 3-6 since through 2020 season
- 8-8 all-time playoff record
- Qualified for playoff 9/14 seasons
- 2 Super Bowl appearances
- 1 Super Bowl win
Now, here’s how some of Mike Tomlin’s peers compare, within the same ballpark of “lack of success” give or take a season or two of their resume. Pay close attention to Super Bowl championships, appearances, and overall playoff records.
Sean Payton
- Since winning the Super Bowl in 2009, Payton has a 5-7 playoff record (including 2020)
- 4 wins in 9 appearances prior to 2020
- 9-8 overall playoff record
- Qualified for playoff 9/14 seasons (Same as Tomlin)
- 1 Super Bowl win and appearance
- Note: suspended from coaching for the 2012 season due to “Bountygate”
John Harbaugh
- Harbaugh has only 2 playoff wins in the last 8 seasons since winning Super Bowl XLVII
- Like Tomlin, Harbaugh inherited Hall of Fame players such as Ed Reed and Ray Lewis on his Super Bowl winning team
- Despite winning 14 games and having the NFL MVP as his quarterback, the Ravens failed to win a playoff game in 2019, exiting early
- Total of 4 postseason appearances in the last 8 seasons
- 11-8 overall playoff record
- 1 Super Bowl win and appearance
Pete Carroll
- 3 playoff wins in last 6 seasons
- 10-8 overall playoff record (with Seattle – 11-10 overall including stint with New England)
- 1 playoff win in last 4 seasons (3 appearances, 2 early exits)
- 2 Super Bowl appearances
- 1 Super Bowl win
Dan Reeves
- Winless in first 5 seasons
- 5 wins in his last 14 seasons (split between 2 teams)
- Never won a Super Bowl
Tom Landry
- 1 win in first 10 seasons with the Cowboys
- 20-16 overall playoff record (29 years coaching)
- Two-Time Super Bowl Champion (Five appearances)
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Tony Dungy
- 2 wins in his first 7 seasons
- 6 winless postseasons
- 9-10 overall playoff record
- 1 Super Bowl win and appearance
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Bill Belichick
- With the Cleveland Browns, Belichick had 1 playoff win in 5 seasons
- Missed postseason four times in 21 seasons with New England
- Six-Time Super Bowl Champion (Nine appearances i.e. three losses)
Bill Parcells
- Following his 1989 Super Bowl victory, Parcells had a total of 3 wins in 11 seasons (multiple teams)
- 11-8 overall playoff record
- Two-Time Super Bowl Champion (Three appearances)
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Marv Levy
- 1 playoff win in his first 9 seasons
- Four Super Bowl appearances (all losses)
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Don Shula
- Winningest coach in NFL history
- 19-17 overall playoff record
- 2x Super Bowl Champion
- 1x NFL Champion (pre-Super Bowl era)
- 6 Super Bowl appearances
- Famously lost Super Bowl III to Joe Namath
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Bill Cowher
- 4 playoff wins in an 8 season span
- 2 Super Bowl appearances
- 1 Super Bowl championship
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame
Chuck Noll
- 2 playoff wins in first 12 seasons
- 1 postseason win in his first 5 seasons
- Four-time Super Bowl Champion (won all four appearances)
- Enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame